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Ether Price Analysis: Bears Chasing Back a Bullish Price Rally
Following a devastating bear market last week, several major market players saw a reversal pattern called a Double Bottom Reversal. For reference, please check out the previous BTC-USD market analysis where an in-depth description of Double Bottom Reversals is outlined.
Figure 1: ETH-USD, 4HR Candles, Gemini, Double Bottom Reversal
The buy-back volume seemed very promising on the reversal pattern and it even saw textbook characteristics of a healthy bull rally. However, if we take a closer look at the market move, we can see something slightly concerning regarding the health of the bull trend. To gain some insight, let’s examine the finer points of the reversal pattern:
Figure 2: ETH-USD, 30Min Candles, Gemini, Failed 100% Retracement
The most immediately concerning aspect of this bull run is the failed test of the 100% Fibonacci Retracement. Typically, a healthy Double Bottom Reversal that leads to a prolonged bull run will test the 100% retracement value (sometimes several tests are required) and ultimately yield higher values as the volume supports market interest. However, in our case, not only did this market move see a rejection of the 100% retracement line, but it also continued a trend of decreasing volume. Decreasing volume shows the declining market interest in these high values, and it doesn’t offer much in the way of support for the bullish trend.
The second concerning element of this bull run is the retracement it is currently seeing: The market is testing the 61% Fibonacci Retracement values which coincide with a significant level of support for this run (shown in orange). At the time of this article, this run tested the support level three times and is now moving on to test the 61% value. These lower values are paired with increasing spikes in sell volume.
On the higher timescales, the MACD (an indicator of market momentum) still remains on the bullish side but is beginning to head toward bearish values. The 4-hour MACD has flipped to bearish, and the current market doesn’t show any indication in the near future of slowing its downward climb.
In order to maintain the support at the 61% value, we will need to see an increase in buy volume to stymie the slowly descending trend we are currently witnessing. In the coming hours/days, if the market fails the test of the 61% line, we can expect the following support levels:
Figure 3: ETH-USD, 30Min Candles, GDAX, Expected Support Levels Following 61% Failure
During both the previous bear run and the formation of the Double Bottom Reversal pattern, we saw levels of support/resistance at the 50% retracement values (shown in pink) and the 38% retracement values (shown in green). A further test of those values will prove crucial if the ETH-USD markets are to remain in this pseudo-bullish trend. Failure to see a significant increase in volume will undoubtedly lead to another bear market situation. Given the declining volume throughout this entire reversal, at this moment I’m inclined to lean more toward a bearish outlook in the near future. Until volume begins to pick up, the market will continue to slowly hemorrhage as market sentiment declines.
Summary:
-
Double Bottom Reversal failed the test of the 100% retracement from the previous bear trend.
-
Until a significant increase in volume is seen, the market will most likely continue this descending trend.
Trading and investing in digital assets like bitcoin and ether is highly speculative and comes with many risks. This analysis is for informational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Statements and financial information on Bitcoin Magazine and BTCMedia related sites do not necessarily reflect the opinion of BTCMedia and should not be construed as an endorsement or recommendation to buy, sell or hold. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
The post Ether Price Analysis: Bears Chasing Back a Bullish Price Rally appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.
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Operator of Illegal Bitcoin Exchange Coin.mx Sentenced to Prison
Anthony Murgio, 33, of Tampa, Florida, has been sentenced to five and a half years in prison for running a Bitcoin exchange connected to hackers. The exchange was used to launder more than $10 million worth of funds, authorities reported.
Both Murgio and Yuri Lebedev, 39, of St. John’s, Florida, operated Coin.mx through a fraudulent company called “Collectables Club.” According to the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York, the illegal Bitcoin exchange used the firm’s misleading name to open financial accounts at banks pretending to be a “members-only association of individuals who discussed, bought, and sold collectible items and memorabilia.” Murgio and Lebedev, along with other co-conspirators, violated bank and credit card company rules and regulations by “deliberately misidentifying and miscoding Coin.mx customers’ credit and debit card transactions.”
“Lies conceived and deployed by Murgio permeated every aspect of Coin.mx’s operation, including its use of front companies, like Collectables Club and Currency Enthusiasts, to try to conceal the illicit nature of the operation,” the Department of Justice stated in its sentencing submission.
On January 9, Murgio pled guilty to three counts regarding operating Coin.mx, which processed over $10 million worth of illegal Bitcoin transactions. Murgio ran the Bitcoin exchange between October 2013 and July 2015 for Gery Shalon, 33, an Israeli citizen who was responsible for hacking at least nine companies, including JPMorgan Chase, E-Trade Financial Corporation and Dow Jones. Coin.mx sold bitcoins that came from illegal online transactions, such as victim payments to ransomware attackers who sought to launder the cryptocurrencies clean.
“I screwed up badly and made serious mistakes and misjudgments,” Murgio said, showing remorse, to U.S. District Judge Alison J. Nathan at his sentencing.
Shalon, along with Ziv Orenstein, 42, compromised data on approximately 76 million household customers and 7 million businesses by hacking the nine companies. U.S. officials described their operation as a “diversified criminal conglomerate” responsible for the largest theft of valuable information from a U.S. bank. The compromised data included the names of customers, along with email addresses and phone numbers. Authorities collected evidence stating that Murgio exchanged cash for the bitcoins of Shalon’s criminal gang. Israeli police arrested Shalon and Orenstein in July 2015, and they were extradited to the United States in June 2016. Both are facing serious charges, including aggravated identity theft, wire fraud and money laundering.
“Mr. Murgio led an effort based on ambition and greed,” and constructed on a “pyramid of lies,” Judge Nathan said during the sentencing hearing at the Manhattan federal court.
On March 17, a Manhattan jury found Lebedev and his co-conspirator Trevon Gross, 52, of New Jersey, guilty of charges connected to a bribery scheme in an attempt to hide the illegal activities of Coin.mx from financial institutes and regulators. Both of the defendants are facing a maximum sentence of 30 years in prison. Judge Nathan scheduled the sentencing hearing of Lebedev and Gross for July 20, 2017.
Murgio’s father, Michael Murgio, 66, was also involved in the Coin.mx case. In October, the father plead guilty to “making a false statement to the National Credit Union Administration on behalf of his son.” By making a plea deal, Michael Murgio managed to avoid additional charges in the case, including “conspiracy to make corrupt payments with intent to influence an officer of a financial institution and making corrupt payments.” Judge Nathan sentenced the elder Murgio to one year of probation along with a $12,000 fine.
The FBI arrested both Lebedev and Murgio on July 23, 2015, for “running an unlicensed bitcoin exchange with the goal of helping individuals launder money.”
Despite the prosecution’s request for 10 to 12 years and seven months behind bars, the Manhattan federal court sentenced Murgio to five and a half years in prison. According to Reuters, Judge Nathan considered Murgio’s “generosity to friends and support to his family” and imposed a prison sentence half as long as the prosecutor recommended.
Judge Nathan has scheduled a hearing on September 1 to decide on the amount of fines, forfeiture and restitution Murgio has to pay to the state. The operator of the illegal Bitcoin exchange remains free on bail.
The post Operator of Illegal Bitcoin Exchange Coin.mx Sentenced to Prison appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.
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How a Bitcoin Whitehat Hacker Helped the FBI Catch a Murderer
An ethical hacker breached the database of a phony darknet website offering hitman services and leaked the data. The information from the data dump helped the FBI in their investigation of a man who murdered his wife.
In November 2016, Stephen Carl Allwine, 47, of Cottage Grove, Minnesota, killed his wife in “one of the most bizarre cases ever seen,” police officers reported. The husband tried to mask the murder as a suicide, including putting a 9 mm pistol next to Amy Allwine’s elbow. However, detectives arriving on the scene identified the case as murder and collected evidence — mostly electronic devices, such as computers — belonging to Mr. Allwine. Later on, in January, investigators arrested and charged Mr. Allwine with second-degree murder based on the forensic evaluation of the confiscated electronic equipment.
In May 2016, a hacker called “bRpsd” breached the database of a controversial hitman service offered on a darknet website. The service, “Besa Mafia,” offered a link between customers and hitmen, who could register on the site anonymously. The price for a murder ranged between $5,000 and $200,000, but clients seeking to avoid fatalities could also hire a contractor to beat up a victim for $500 or set somebody’s car on fire for $1,000.
The hacker uploaded the data dump to a public internet website. The leaked files contained user accounts, email addresses, personal messages between the Besa Mafia admin and its customers, “hit” orders and a folder named “victims,” providing additional information on the targets.
The breach highlighted the fake nature of the website, which operated only to collect money from the customers. Chris Monteiro, an independent researcher who also hacked into the site, stated the owner or owners of Besa Mafia had made at least 50 bitcoins ($127,500 based on the current value of the cryptocurrency) from the scam operation.
According to a message posted by a Besa Mafia administrator and uncovered in the dump, “[T]his website is to scam criminals of their money. We report them for 2 reasons: to stop murder, this is moral and right; to avoid being charged with conspiracy to murder or association to murder, if we get caught.”
The leak of the Besa Mafia database helped the police investigating the murder of Mrs. Allwine. As the officers analyzed her husband’s devices, they discovered the suspect had accessed the dark web as early as 2014. Furthermore, investigators identified the pseudonym Mr. Allwine used on the darknet, “dogdaygod,” which was also linked to his email, “dogdaygod@hmamail.com,” in some cases. Detectives found bitcoin addresses in the conversations between Besa Mafia and Mr. Allwine, which linked the husband directly to the “dogdaygod” pseudonym, providing authorities with necessary evidence for the case.
Eventually, law enforcement agents analyzed the data dump bRpsd leaked and discovered Mr. Allwine’s email in the list. In addition, investigators found messages between the suspect and the Besa Mafia admin. According to a criminal complaint, Mr. Allwine paid between $10,000 to $15,000 to the supposed hitman service to kill his wife. The complaint detailed how Mr. Allwine had decided to have the hitman shoot Mrs. Allwine at close range and burn down the house afterward.
However, once the funds were transferred, the Besa Mafia communicator told Mr. Allwine that “local police [have] stopped the hitman [from] driving a stolen vehicle and taken [him] to jail prior to the hit,” thus rendering him unable to complete his “service.” The complaint cited Sergeant McAlister who reported that during that time, “no one was apprehended in Minnesota and western Wisconsin in a stolen vehicle and possession of a gun.”
It is likely that the ethical hacker’s data breach had an impact on Mr. Allwine’s case; on March 24, 2017, the Washington County District Court charged him with first-degree murder. In addition, officers have gathered more evidence in the case — a drug called scopolamine was discovered at 45 times higher than the recommended level in Mrs. Allwine’s body. Investigators subsequently discovered that her husband had also ordered the substance on the dark web.
The post How a Bitcoin Whitehat Hacker Helped the FBI Catch a Murderer appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.
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Decent Launches Global Media Distribution Platform
Free and open communication has long been an essential component of a successful democracy. Unfortunately, money, power and influence over time have stifled today’s media environment adversely impacting both content producers and consumers alike.
In an effort to democratize creative content, DECENT has officially launched its blockchain-based, global media distribution platform. The name is an acronym for Decentralized Network; Encrypted & Secure; Content Distribution System; Elimination of 3rd Parties; New Way of Online Publishing; Timestamped Data Records.
Designed to bring more transparency and fairness to the media industry, DECENT allows artists to seamlessly distribute digital content for immediate payment and without hefty fees. Peer-to-peer in its orientation, consumers decide the merits of a certain piece of content posted through a Yelp-like community rating system. The content, however, cannot be censored or removed.
This blockchain initiative endeavors to disrupt the legacy world of media distribution by allowing artists more freedom and control over the ownership and distribution of their content, all without compromising on security. It represents a potential gamechanger for the massive global media and content distribution industry — one that’s estimated to grow from $1.7 trillion in 2016 to over $2 trillion in 2019.
DECENT was founded in 2016 by two friends, Matej Michalko and Matej Boda, from Slovakia. It sprouted from a shared vision that blockchain technology could fuel a coordinated system of digital content publishing and sharing throughout the world.
Funding for DECENT was fueled by an ICO campaign last summer, which raised more than 5,881 BTC, at that time valued at $4.2 million USD. There were 4,300 ICO participants in total and no other key funding partners.
Michalko recounted the journey leading up to his own personal discovery of blockchain technology and its potential uses for the content distribution space. “I’ve been extensively involved in Bitcoin since 2011, even mining it from my own laptop at the beginning. I quickly realized that the innovative technology behind Bitcoin had the potential to change the modern world.”
When Michalko started to delve further into blockchain technology, he found a seemingly endless list of use cases the new technology could support. “I became determined to use blockchain technology to create something revolutionary that would be beneficial for people on a global scale. A short time later ongoing discussions between myself and our future co-founder Matej Boda quickly led to DECENT being born.”
He says that DECENT Network is a reaction to the issues that the majority of content producers face nowadays in the entertainment and media industry. “There is too much artificial complexity and too many barriers in the industry affecting both the access to market and income of the content owners.”
DECENT’S digital model allows artists to distribute any form of content, including written, music, videos, ebooks and pictures. These distribution channels are free of third-party influence, meaning that artists can also manage their intellectual property rights and set their own pricing.
One of the innovative adaptations that distinguishes DECENT from other blockchain platforms is the network’s reputation management system. This allows content creators who share their digital work on the platform to build a lifetime reputation, based on ratings from those who purchase content on the platform. DECENT Network also allows content creators to instantly receive payment when someone downloads their content, without any middleman interference.
Michalko believes that DECENT can break the trajectory in which a majority of power is concentrated in the hands of a few players controlling the industry. “Artists, filmmakers and writers lose control over their work and depend on the mercy of the ‘big guys.’ We designed DECENT Network to do away with all that and bring more transparency and fairness to the digital content industry.”
DECENT estimates that writers, for example, lose a healthy 30–75 percent chunk of their earnings when publishing with Amazon. Similarly, musicians, through licensing agreements, lose around 30 percent when selling a track on iTunes. Blockchain technology therefore serves as a mechanism that helps writers and musicians keep more money, while connecting with their audiences directly.
Michalko says that artists will be paid for their downloaded content through DECENT’s own cryptocurrency called “DCT,” which will be launched together with DECENT Network. Other payment options, he says, will be available in the future. “Artists will no longer have to wait months before seeing a penny from their work. And at the time of launch, DECENT Network will be a completely free-of-charge service for artists.”
Michalko hopes that by 2020, DECENT Network will have become the number one worldwide media sharing platform. “We hope to bring more transparency and fairness to the digital content industry for both creators and consumers. I hope that with our launch people will realize the advantage of DECENT Network over other content distribution platforms.”
The post Decent Launches Global Media Distribution Platform appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.
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German Politicians Join Advisory Panel for Blockchain Advocacy Group
A new organization focused on public advocacy for blockchain has been launched in Germany.
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The Tatiana Show - Comedian Travis Irvine & Brian Sovryn of Sovryn Tech
Tatiana interviews comedian Travis Irvine & Brian Sovryn of Sovryn Tech.
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-Dr. Brian Sovryn is the proprietor and developer of Zomia Offline Games, as well as the creator and host of the podcast Sovryn Tech. His background in technology comes from years spent with multiple tech companies, the U.S. Army, and from being involved in the cypherpunk community since the late 1990's. Brian also has a Doctorate of Divinity. He was a co-host of the nationally syndicated radio show Free Talk Live for two years, as well as a co-host with Dr. Stephanie Murphy on the popular Let's Talk Bitcoin Network show Sex & Science Hour, and has made numerous appearances on other podcasts and radio shows. He's also a public speaker at various liberty, anarchist, Bitcoin, blockchain, and tech events throughout the world. Brian also fancies himself a gamer, historian, and tech journalist (in that order), and is a supporter of the Center for a Stateless Society, the Center for Global Nonkilling, the Albert Einstein Institute, and the Institute of General Semantics. Born in 1981 in New York, Brian Sovryn is ethnically Jewish, and unfortunately converted to Christianity for a time, but is now a freethinker and anarchist. He is presently a denizen of New Hampshire.
-Travis Irvine is a journalist, comedian, independent filmmaker and unsuccessful politician. He has also contributed to VICELAND, the Guardian, Mediaite, Jesse Ventura's "Off the Grid" and .Mic. Travis wrote and directed a feature-length horror/satire film about killer raccoons that is available from cult film company Troma Entertainment, and in 2007 he ran for mayor of his hometown in Ohio and turned the experience into a short documentary that was featured at the Cannes Film Festival. Travis' campaign and comedy videos have been featured on "The Jay Leno Show," PBS's "NewsHour" and Funny Or Die, and he was also once on "The People's Court.
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The Crypto Show with Dima Murshik on Mycelium
On this episode of "The Crypto Show," we do a pre-recorded interview in studio with Dima ("Rasa") Murshik of Mycelium. We discuss his return to the company after a brief hiatus; his current status and position within the company; the company's controversial ICO; and his opinion on the future profitability, longevity, and innovativeness of Mycelium.
We also discuss the future of Bitcoin and the block size, as well as his opinion on altcoins. A fascinating interview with a fascinating man, an old friend of ours, with some great insights into his own experiences in the crypto-space and into what lies ahead.
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Today, we look at the problem of modern slavery and how it intersects with wildlife conservation. This subject is brought to the fore by growing interest in using blockchain technologies to illuminate the business processes which conceal the presence of slavery. Our guests are Brian Iselin, founder of SlaveFreeTrade.org, and Bubba Cook, Western and Central Pacific Tuna Programme Manager for the World Wildlife Fund.
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The $28-Billion Challenge: Can Ethereum Scale to Meet Demand?
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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Double Bottom Reversal Chases Out the Bears
In our previous BTC-USD analysis, there was a fear of a massive Head and Shoulders pattern that had very low price projections for the entire crypto market. In a turn of events, when BTC-USD made its test of the Head and Shoulders neckline, it actually responded in a market reversal.
Figure 1: BTC-USD, 6-hr Candles, GDAX, Head and Shoulders Rejection
Yesterday, the crypto market took a turn upward as the market leader made a Double Bottom Reversal pattern that sent a market-wide bear run into an immediate bull run. As the BTC-USD market made an attempt to test the boundaries of the lower prices of the bear run, volume began to pick up and sent us into a market reversal. How does one spot this pattern and where are we headed in the next few days?
Figure 2: BTC-USD, 30-min. Candles, GDAX
Characteristics of a Double Bottom Reversal pattern include the following:
-
A descending trendline within an established bear trend (shown in white)
-
An initial bottom that temporarily reverses before retesting the established low (basically forming a “W” pattern)
-
After a test of the previously established low, the test is rejected
-
It is important to note that in order to confirm the reversal pattern, typically you want to see consistent increased volume at the lower values (shown in dark pink)
-
-
After the low is rejected a second time, it continues upward and breaks the descending trendline established in step 1 (shown in yellow)
-
After breaking the descending trendline, the price then forms a “neckline” with the rest of the pattern (shown in light pink)
-
From there, to confirm the trend reversal, we would want to see a break of the neckline followed by a retest of the neckline (shown in light blue)
All the above characteristics are very strong indicators of a complete bear market reversal into a bull market. As mentioned in the previous BTC-USD analysis, the bear run would continue the trend downward until significant volume picked up. In our case, the volume picked up very strongly and made a complete market reversal. Much like BTC-USD, this pattern is seen throughout several major players in the crypto market: ETH-USD, LTC-USD, ETH-BTC, etc.
It is unclear where the top of the bull run will lead us, but what is clear is that volume has dramatically picked up, indicating market interest in the higher prices. Until the volume begins to die down, the price will continue to push higher.
Summary:
-
Head and Shoulders pattern was strongly rejected in the form of a Double Bottom Reversal
-
Bearish trend has ended in a strong bull trend
Trading and investing in digital assets like bitcoin and ether is highly speculative and comes with many risks. This analysis is for informational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Statements and financial information on Bitcoin Magazine and BTCMedia related sites do not necessarily reflect the opinion of BTCMedia and should not be construed as an endorsement or recommendation to buy, sell or hold. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
The post Bitcoin Price Analysis: Double Bottom Reversal Chases Out the Bears appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.
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